Náutico vs Piauí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.1%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
16.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
16.6%
8.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAU
24%
27%
49%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 2
NAU
22%
25%
53%
|
58 | 41 | 17 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2015 |
MOT
3 - 1
NAU
24%
26%
51%
|
59 | 44 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Piauí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 2
NAU
22%
25%
53%
|
41 | 58 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2015 |
SAL
0 - 0
PIA
60%
23%
17%
|
40 | 53 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2015 |
PIA
0 - 0
MOT
44%
24%
31%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
RIV
0 - 0
PIA
55%
24%
21%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 3
PIA
49%
25%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | +1 |