Náutico vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.7%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
14%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.5%
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2023 |
ABC
3 - 1
NAU
49%
24%
27%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2023 |
NAU
3 - 2
FER
60%
21%
19%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAG
0 - 1
NAU
8%
14%
78%
|
61 | 31 | 30 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2023 |
ISC
0 - 4
NAU
7%
17%
77%
|
60 | 33 | 27 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
SAL
78%
14%
7%
|
60 | 46 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
PET
1 - 0
POR
55%
24%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
PET
4 - 2
AFO
38%
25%
37%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
RFC
0 - 0
PET
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 55 | 19 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
PET
2 - 0
CAR
55%
22%
24%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CEN
1 - 2
PET
52%
25%
23%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |