Náutico vs Petrolina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.6%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.3%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.4%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.5%
5.9%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
4 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2010 |
BRA
0 - 1
NAU
43%
25%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 1
PPE
40%
26%
34%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
ICA
47%
26%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Petrolina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
SER
1 - 0
PET
55%
23%
22%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
SAN
3 - 1
PET
77%
15%
9%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
PET
0 - 0
NAU
10%
17%
74%
|
30 | 75 | 45 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2009 |
SAL
6 - 2
PET
67%
20%
13%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
PET
0 - 2
SPO
10%
19%
71%
|
31 | 82 | 51 | 0 |