Náutico vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
32.9%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
NAU
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
VAS
2 - 1
NAU
74%
18%
9%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
1 - 2
JEC
34%
28%
39%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | +1 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAU
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 1
AVA
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
BOA
1 - 0
PAR
38%
28%
35%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
0 - 0
CEA
31%
28%
41%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
PAR
3 - 2
SAN
44%
28%
28%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
JEC
3 - 0
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |