Náutico vs Paraná analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.7%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
39.9%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.3%
0-2
6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2007 |
SCI
2 - 0
NAU
63%
23%
14%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
NAU
2 - 2
VAS
31%
23%
46%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAO
23%
24%
53%
|
70 | 89 | 19 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
ATM
2 - 1
NAU
63%
22%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2007 |
FFL
1 - 0
NAU
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Paraná
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
PAR
0 - 1
SAO
26%
26%
48%
|
81 | 88 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
CRZ
3 - 4
PAR
52%
24%
25%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 2
PAR
34%
26%
40%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
PAR
3 - 0
GRE
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2007 |
LIB
1 - 1
PAR
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | +1 |