Náutico vs Palmeiras analysis


67	ELO	79
0.5%	Tilt	0%
1198º	General ELO ranking	96º
54º	Country ELO ranking	14º
ELO win probability

40.8%

Náutico

23.6%

Draw

35.6%

Palmeiras

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

40.8%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%

23.6%

Draw

0-0

4.3%

1-1

10.6%

2-2

6.6%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

23.6%

35.7%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.5%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.5%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+2%

+15%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches