Náutico vs Moto Club MA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.5%
3-0
10%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
17.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.5%
10%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
NAU
2 - 2
CEN
68%
20%
13%
|
58 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2015 |
NAU
3 - 3
PIA
75%
17%
8%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
NAU
1 - 2
SAN
38%
26%
36%
|
59 | 64 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CEN
1 - 1
NAU
24%
27%
49%
|
59 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
QUI
0 - 0
MOT
29%
26%
45%
|
46 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 1
SAL
36%
27%
38%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
MOT
4 - 2
EXP
83%
12%
5%
|
45 | 7 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 1
BOA
23%
25%
52%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
MOT
2 - 3
IMP
61%
22%
17%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | -1 |