Náutico vs Joinville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
38.8%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
CEA
25%
27%
48%
|
61 | 75 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2014 |
VIL
0 - 1
NAU
28%
27%
46%
|
61 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 0
BRA
40%
27%
33%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 0
NAU
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
ARN
34%
27%
40%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Joinville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
ICA
1 - 1
JEC
24%
27%
50%
|
70 | 57 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2014 |
JEC
3 - 0
PAR
53%
25%
22%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
JEC
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
JEC
2 - 1
OES
66%
21%
14%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
LUV
2 - 2
JEC
33%
27%
40%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |