Náutico vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
40.9%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CRZ
4 - 0
NAU
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 1
CRB
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
0 - 0
OPE
61%
23%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
GRE
0 - 1
ITU
81%
14%
6%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
1 - 0
NOV
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BAH
2 - 0
ITU
61%
23%
16%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2022 |
ITU
4 - 1
SPO
46%
28%
26%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |