Náutico vs Itacuruba SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.4%
Win probability
3.24
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.9%
7-0
2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.3%
6-0
4.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.1%
5-0
7.8%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.6%
4-0
12.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.5%
3-0
14.9%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.3%
7.3%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.4%
2-2
1.1%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
7.3%
2.2%
Win probability
0.4
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.7%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.9%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 0
SER
87%
10%
4%
|
64 | 44 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
NAU
2 - 3
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2005 |
PAL
0 - 1
NAU
11%
18%
71%
|
65 | 43 | 22 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 1
POR
88%
9%
3%
|
65 | 41 | 24 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2005 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Itacuruba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2005 |
SAN
2 - 1
ITA
89%
9%
3%
|
30 | 65 | 35 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2005 |
ITA
2 - 3
SER
27%
23%
50%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2005 |
ITA
3 - 1
MAN
77%
14%
9%
|
31 | 11 | 20 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2005 |
ITA
1 - 0
POR
43%
24%
34%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +3 |
| 03 Feb. 2005 |
SPO
0 - 0
ITA
83%
13%
4%
|
27 | 65 | 38 | +1 |