Náutico vs Itabaiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.5%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.5%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.9%
10.6%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
NAU
18%
24%
58%
|
58 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
LUV
3 - 0
NAU
55%
25%
20%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
38%
28%
34%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2017 |
CRI
0 - 0
NAU
58%
23%
19%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 2
LON
30%
28%
42%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Itabaiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 2018 |
ITA
0 - 0
NAU
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 58 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
FLU
2 - 2
ITA
49%
26%
25%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
1 - 0
CAM
30%
27%
43%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
PER
2 - 2
ITA
17%
24%
59%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2017 |
ITA
2 - 1
PER
76%
16%
8%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |