Náutico vs Ipatinga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.2%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
SAO
5 - 0
NAU
39%
27%
35%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 2
ARN
74%
17%
9%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
FFL
1 - 2
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 1
BRA
65%
21%
14%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
DUQ
1 - 2
NAU
24%
24%
52%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Ipatinga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2010 |
IFC
3 - 0
GUA
46%
26%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
AMF
4 - 0
IFC
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 2
ASA
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
SAO
2 - 1
IFC
49%
27%
24%
|
66 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2010 |
IFC
1 - 2
BAH
49%
26%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |