Náutico vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.6%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.1%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
51.3%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.7%
0-3
5.1%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NAU
2 - 2
RFC
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
CRB
2 - 3
NAU
50%
25%
25%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
SAN
2 - 0
NAU
46%
25%
29%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
ABC
58%
22%
21%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2020 |
NAU
0 - 1
CEN
82%
13%
5%
|
63 | 43 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
3 - 0
PAC
89%
9%
2%
|
77 | 38 | 39 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
1 - 0
CSA
75%
17%
9%
|
77 | 62 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2020 |
FER
1 - 0
FOR
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 51 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
FOR
4 - 2
BAR
87%
11%
3%
|
77 | 41 | 36 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2020 |
FOR
2 - 1
IND
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |