Náutico vs Flamengo Arcoverde analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.73
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11.1%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
6.9%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2019 |
IMP
1 - 1
NAU
16%
22%
62%
|
57 | 40 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAN
44%
25%
32%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2019 |
NAU
2 - 0
ACA
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 35 | 21 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 1
NAU
29%
27%
44%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
NAU
5 - 0
PET
80%
14%
6%
|
56 | 34 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Flamengo Arcoverde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2019 |
FEC
0 - 2
CEN
17%
21%
62%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
SAL
4 - 3
FEC
67%
20%
13%
|
32 | 52 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2019 |
FEC
1 - 1
SAN
8%
15%
78%
|
32 | 58 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
SPO
2 - 3
FEC
89%
9%
2%
|
30 | 73 | 43 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 1
FEC
53%
21%
26%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |