Náutico vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.4%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
54.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
13.6%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 2
NAU
11%
21%
68%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
CUI
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
1 - 0
FEC
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 1
NAU
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2018 |
NAU
2 - 1
AFO
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 37 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2018 |
BAH
6 - 1
JEQ
90%
8%
2%
|
78 | 39 | 39 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
SDJ
1 - 2
BAH
9%
21%
71%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 1
AEC
90%
8%
2%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2018 |
BAH
2 - 1
NAU
77%
16%
7%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
VIT
0 - 3
BAH
57%
23%
20%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |