Náutico vs Duque de Caxias analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.6%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
14.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.2%
6.2%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 0
ABC
58%
23%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAL
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
NAU
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Duque de Caxias
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 3
SAO
27%
26%
47%
|
52 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PPE
2 - 1
DUQ
79%
15%
7%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 1
SPO
17%
23%
60%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
VIT
5 - 1
DUQ
78%
15%
7%
|
52 | 74 | 22 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
DUQ
1 - 2
SAL
63%
21%
16%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |