Náutico vs Cruzeiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2007 |
JUV
1 - 1
NAU
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 1
PAL
31%
24%
45%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
ATP
1 - 1
NAU
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2007 |
SPO
4 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
21%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 2
GOI
37%
25%
38%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Cruzeiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2007 |
CRZ
2 - 1
GOI
53%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2007 |
SAN
4 - 1
CRZ
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2007 |
FFL
2 - 1
CRZ
43%
26%
31%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2007 |
CRZ
3 - 1
VAS
50%
23%
27%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
CRZ
4 - 2
ATM
58%
23%
20%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |