Náutico vs CRB analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.3%
Win probability
1.91
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
23.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2005 |
GRE
2 - 2
NAU
66%
20%
14%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2005 |
NAU
4 - 2
CRI
40%
25%
34%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 3
SAN
46%
25%
29%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2005 |
ANA
1 - 2
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
NAU
1 - 3
POR
48%
25%
28%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
CRB
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2005 |
CRB
2 - 1
AVA
44%
26%
29%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2005 |
CAX
1 - 3
CRB
53%
23%
24%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2005 |
VIL
0 - 1
CRB
50%
24%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
CRB
0 - 0
SPO
42%
27%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2005 |
PAU
2 - 2
CRB
62%
21%
17%
|
60 | 70 | 10 | 0 |