Náutico vs Coritiba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
37.1%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.4%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2010 |
SPO
1 - 0
NAU
50%
24%
26%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
NAU
3 - 2
SPO
39%
25%
36%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2010 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
SAN
0 - 0
NAU
19%
21%
60%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
NAU
2 - 0
SPO
36%
25%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Coritiba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
COT
2 - 1
CCR
82%
14%
4%
|
78 | 48 | 30 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
COT
2 - 0
ATP
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
COT
2 - 0
OPE
78%
16%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
COT
3 - 1
IRA
70%
20%
11%
|
77 | 56 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
COT
4 - 1
ACP
76%
17%
7%
|
77 | 47 | 30 | 0 |