Náutico vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
<0%
+1
15.6%
30.6%
Draw
0-0
15.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
30.6%
47.8%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
18.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.7%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 0
NAU
76%
17%
8%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
ATP
6 - 1
NAU
73%
18%
9%
|
61 | 80 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
BAH
37%
28%
35%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
| 15 Nov. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 0
NAU
74%
17%
9%
|
62 | 82 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
CRI
39%
26%
35%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
SCI
49%
27%
24%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
FLA
1 - 0
COR
42%
29%
30%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
COR
0 - 0
VAS
52%
26%
22%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2013 |
COT
0 - 1
COR
42%
28%
29%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
COR
1 - 0
FLU
48%
27%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | +1 |