Náutico vs Confiança analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.4%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CUI
1 - 0
NAU
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 1
CHA
29%
29%
43%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2020 |
NAU
3 - 1
BOT
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 2020 |
BRA
2 - 1
NAU
31%
30%
39%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2020 |
NAU
1 - 0
FFL
49%
26%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Confiança
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 1
BRA
42%
28%
30%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2020 |
PPE
2 - 1
CON
67%
21%
12%
|
57 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CON
1 - 0
GUA
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2020 |
CON
2 - 2
AVA
31%
28%
40%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2020 |
JUV
3 - 1
CON
50%
27%
23%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |