Náutico vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.4%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
4.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
13%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.7%
2-0
15.5%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.2%
5.4%
Win probability
0.5
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
PET
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
73%
|
72 | 32 | 40 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 1
SER
85%
11%
4%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
POR
0 - 3
NAU
10%
19%
70%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 1
PES
88%
10%
3%
|
72 | 34 | 38 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
NAU
3 - 1
YPI
82%
13%
5%
|
72 | 38 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
CHA
56%
24%
21%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
PET
59%
23%
18%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
BEL
1 - 1
CEN
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SER
3 - 2
CEN
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
CEN
1 - 0
PES
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |