Náutico vs Central SC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.8%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.2%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.2%
4-0
8%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.5%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
13.3%
6%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
NAU
11%
17%
73%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
SAL
3 - 2
NAU
18%
23%
59%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 2
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
68 | 45 | 23 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 1
YPI
82%
13%
6%
|
68 | 38 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
4 - 3
NAU
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Central SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
4 - 0
BEL
55%
24%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2012 |
CEN
0 - 1
SER
54%
23%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
AME
1 - 2
CEN
28%
25%
47%
|
44 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 0
CEN
52%
24%
24%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
CEN
1 - 1
PET
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |