Náutico vs Campinense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.8%
7.4%
Win probability
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.8%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
NAU
0 - 1
FER
73%
18%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 1
NAU
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
NAU
4 - 2
IMP
74%
18%
9%
|
63 | 49 | 14 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
NAU
11%
20%
69%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
ABC
2 - 0
NAU
30%
29%
41%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Campinense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
JAC
51%
25%
23%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
ACA
0 - 1
CAM
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
CAM
2 - 1
NAU
11%
20%
69%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
BOT
2 - 0
CAM
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
CAM
1 - 2
BOT
13%
22%
66%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |