Náutico vs Brusque analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
NAU
2 - 0
ITU
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
CSA
2 - 0
NAU
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
CRZ
4 - 0
NAU
66%
22%
12%
|
63 | 78 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
VIL
44%
27%
29%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
GUA
1 - 0
NAU
50%
27%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Brusque
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
BRU
1 - 0
VAS
28%
28%
44%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
TOM
1 - 0
BRU
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
BRU
0 - 1
LON
41%
29%
30%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
BRU
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
BRU
2 - 1
PPE
39%
29%
32%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | +1 |