Náutico vs RB Bragantino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PPE
2 - 0
NAU
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 1
ARN
34%
27%
40%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
NAU
3 - 2
OES
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
LUV
0 - 2
NAU
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
NAU
0 - 1
VAS
17%
26%
57%
|
58 | 80 | 22 | 0 |
Matches
RB Bragantino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2014 |
COR
3 - 1
BRA
69%
21%
10%
|
64 | 85 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
ABC
53%
26%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 0
COR
23%
29%
48%
|
62 | 85 | 23 | +2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
PAR
1 - 0
BRA
47%
26%
26%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 1
ATL
38%
27%
34%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |