Náutico vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
57.8%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2012 |
VAS
4 - 2
NAU
75%
17%
8%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
NAU
0 - 0
CRZ
17%
24%
59%
|
64 | 83 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
FFL
2 - 1
NAU
77%
15%
8%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 2
SPO
45%
25%
31%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jun. 2012 |
BOT
2 - 3
CRZ
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2012 |
COT
2 - 3
BOT
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
BOT
4 - 2
SAO
40%
25%
35%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
BOT
0 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2012 |
BOT
1 - 2
VIT
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | -1 |