Náutico vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
40.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
PAR
2 - 4
NAU
55%
25%
21%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
NAU
1 - 1
SCI
31%
25%
44%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2007 |
VAS
4 - 1
NAU
70%
19%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
SAO
5 - 0
NAU
72%
19%
10%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2007 |
NAU
0 - 1
ATM
46%
24%
29%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 1
PAL
53%
23%
24%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2007 |
GRE
3 - 0
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2007 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLA
60%
22%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2007 |
ATM
1 - 2
BOT
42%
26%
32%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 2007 |
BOT
3 - 1
COR
58%
22%
20%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |