Náutico vs Belo Jardim FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.7%
Win probability
2.89
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
11%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
15.2%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.9%
2-0
15.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
18.3%
9.3%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
2.9%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.4%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
SAN
3 - 3
NAU
28%
24%
48%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
NAU
2 - 0
CAR
85%
10%
5%
|
59 | 35 | 24 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2023 |
CEN
2 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2022 |
NAU
1 - 2
ASA
77%
15%
8%
|
59 | 47 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
NAU
0 - 1
PPE
35%
27%
37%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 2
POR
41%
27%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
BEL
0 - 5
RFC
8%
15%
78%
|
32 | 54 | 22 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
AFO
1 - 1
BEL
68%
19%
13%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2022 |
CEN
1 - 0
BEL
59%
24%
17%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2022 |
POR
1 - 1
BEL
39%
27%
34%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |