Náutico vs Belo Jardim FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.5%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.4%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
6%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2017 |
UNI
0 - 9
NAU
13%
21%
65%
|
64 | 35 | 29 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
SAL
2 - 0
NAU
23%
26%
52%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAN
35%
25%
40%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
NAU
2 - 1
SPO
26%
25%
50%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 1
NAU
67%
20%
13%
|
64 | 76 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Belo Jardim FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 1
SPO
6%
15%
79%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
BEL
1 - 4
CEN
43%
27%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
CEN
0 - 2
BEL
48%
27%
25%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2017 |
BEL
0 - 2
NAU
11%
21%
69%
|
38 | 64 | 26 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2017 |
SPO
1 - 0
BEL
85%
12%
3%
|
38 | 76 | 38 | 0 |