Náutico vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.6%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
12.1%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
2 - 0
SPO
41%
25%
35%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
BAH
2 - 0
NAU
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2013 |
SPO
2 - 0
NAU
56%
23%
22%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
NAU
0 - 1
FLU
23%
27%
51%
|
67 | 84 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2013 |
CRI
3 - 0
NAU
48%
26%
27%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
ATP
3 - 0
PAL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 0
BOT
31%
26%
43%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2013 |
PAL
1 - 0
ATP
51%
25%
25%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2013 |
ATP
2 - 1
CRI
63%
22%
15%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2013 |
SAO
1 - 1
ATP
51%
25%
24%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |