Náutico vs Araripina FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
86.8%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
7.6%
4-0
10.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.5%
3-0
14.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.6%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
1.5%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
9.7%
3.5%
Win probability
0.46
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.9%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
AME
2 - 2
NAU
13%
19%
68%
|
66 | 27 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
NAU
3 - 1
BEL
87%
10%
4%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
NAU
10%
17%
73%
|
67 | 38 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
CEN
81%
13%
6%
|
67 | 44 | 23 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
SER
0 - 1
NAU
11%
17%
73%
|
67 | 39 | 28 | 0 |
Matches
Araripina FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
ARA
4 - 1
POR
44%
24%
32%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
1 - 1
SER
46%
24%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
SER
2 - 0
ARA
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
BEL
1 - 0
ARA
37%
26%
37%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
ARA
2 - 2
SAL
30%
26%
45%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +1 |