Náutico vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
88.9%
Win probability
3.07
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.6%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.3%
5-0
7%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
8.6%
4-0
11.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
14.6%
3-0
14.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.2%
2-0
14.5%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.8%
8.4%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
3.9%
2-2
1.2%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
8.4%
2.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
0.8%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
2.2%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.4%
0-3
0%
1-4
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ARA
0 - 1
NAU
11%
18%
71%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
PET
88%
9%
3%
|
69 | 40 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
POR
0 - 2
NAU
13%
20%
67%
|
69 | 42 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 2
PPE
50%
25%
25%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
BOA
2 - 1
NAU
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
AME
0 - 3
SAL
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 48 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2012 |
SPO
0 - 0
AME
86%
10%
3%
|
37 | 71 | 34 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
AME
0 - 4
SER
37%
24%
39%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 2
AME
55%
23%
22%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
AME
4 - 2
NAU
15%
20%
66%
|
35 | 63 | 28 | +3 |