Náutico vs América PE analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
2.58
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
13.1%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
12.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
6%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.8%
5.2%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.2%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
0 - 0
NAU
18%
22%
60%
|
61 | 46 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
YPI
75%
16%
10%
|
61 | 39 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 1
SAN
65%
20%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 1
NAU
18%
20%
62%
|
60 | 35 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2011 |
NAU
4 - 1
POR
72%
18%
11%
|
60 | 44 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
América PE
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
YPI
2 - 1
AME
66%
19%
15%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2011 |
AME
1 - 2
ACA
37%
24%
39%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 2011 |
AME
0 - 2
SAL
19%
23%
58%
|
29 | 50 | 21 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 1
AME
62%
20%
18%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
PET
1 - 0
AME
51%
22%
27%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -2 |