Náutico vs Afogados analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.4%
Win probability
2.7
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.2%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.9%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
6.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.4%
7.2%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2020 |
BOT
2 - 1
NAU
53%
23%
24%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2020 |
ACA
1 - 2
NAU
8%
18%
74%
|
62 | 30 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
AFP
0 - 2
NAU
8%
16%
76%
|
62 | 39 | 23 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2020 |
NAU
4 - 0
SED
84%
11%
5%
|
62 | 35 | 27 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
PET
0 - 1
NAU
9%
19%
72%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Afogados
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 2
PET
60%
21%
19%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 2
RFC
41%
24%
35%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
SED
0 - 4
AFO
31%
25%
45%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
AFO
2 - 1
SAL
31%
24%
45%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
SAL
2 - 3
AFO
63%
22%
16%
|
40 | 52 | 12 | +2 |