Náutico vs AD Cabense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.3%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
6.9%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 0
NAU
23%
24%
54%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
ARA
1 - 1
NAU
18%
21%
62%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
NAU
3 - 0
PET
81%
14%
6%
|
61 | 28 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
SAN
1 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
NAU
4 - 1
VIL
50%
25%
25%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AD Cabense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 0
SPO
10%
17%
73%
|
39 | 73 | 34 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
CAB
0 - 0
ACA
53%
23%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2011 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAB
66%
20%
14%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
CAB
1 - 1
VCR
55%
23%
22%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
SAL
3 - 0
CAB
60%
23%
18%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | -2 |