Náutico vs Vitória das Tabocas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.2%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.1%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.3%
8.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2011 |
NAU
6 - 0
TDC
76%
16%
9%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
CAB
1 - 4
NAU
18%
22%
60%
|
62 | 42 | 20 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2011 |
TDC
2 - 1
NAU
17%
21%
62%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
ARA
78%
15%
7%
|
62 | 41 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
PET
0 - 1
NAU
16%
20%
64%
|
62 | 36 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Vitória das Tabocas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 2
PET
54%
22%
25%
|
38 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2011 |
SAL
5 - 1
ACA
59%
22%
19%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2011 |
ACA
0 - 0
CEN
28%
24%
49%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2011 |
CEN
3 - 1
ACA
59%
23%
19%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2011 |
ACA
1 - 0
SAL
28%
24%
48%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |