Náutico vs ABC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.1%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2011 |
PAR
2 - 0
NAU
30%
28%
42%
|
69 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
NAU
1 - 0
SAL
80%
14%
6%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
BRA
2 - 1
NAU
49%
25%
26%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2011 |
NAU
2 - 1
CRI
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 2
NAU
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
ABC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 2
VIL
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
ABC
0 - 0
VIT
35%
27%
38%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2011 |
GOI
1 - 2
ABC
65%
21%
14%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2011 |
ABC
1 - 1
POR
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | +1 |
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
SAL
0 - 1
ABC
19%
25%
56%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |