Náutico vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
47%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 0
ARN
32%
25%
43%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
JEC
1 - 0
NAU
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 70 | 11 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
ARN
3 - 0
NAU
60%
22%
18%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
CEA
2 - 2
NAU
67%
20%
13%
|
59 | 71 | 12 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
NAU
2 - 0
VIL
65%
20%
15%
|
59 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2014 |
POR
1 - 2
ARN
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
BOA
2 - 1
POR
17%
26%
57%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2014 |
BRA
2 - 2
POR
30%
28%
41%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2014 |
POR
1 - 1
SAN
69%
20%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
JEC
3 - 0
POR
37%
28%
35%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |