Náutico vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
34%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Náutico
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
COT
2 - 1
NAU
68%
20%
13%
|
71 | 82 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
NAU
1 - 0
PAL
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
PPE
2 - 1
NAU
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 1
COR
26%
29%
46%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
NAU
2 - 0
ATL
39%
26%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct. 2012 |
POR
0 - 0
FLA
42%
27%
31%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
COR
30%
29%
42%
|
75 | 86 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
POR
59%
23%
18%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2012 |
POR
5 - 1
SPO
58%
24%
19%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
POR
1 - 1
ATM
31%
26%
43%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |