Nations vs Young Apostles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.3%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.2%
11.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+135%
+185%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nations
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
BEC
2 - 0
NFC
60%
25%
15%
|
48 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
HEA
0 - 1
NFC
56%
28%
17%
|
46 | 67 | 21 | +2 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
NFC
3 - 1
BHS
79%
13%
8%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2024 |
SFC
1 - 1
NFC
66%
22%
12%
|
45 | 67 | 22 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
NFC
3 - 0
ALL
25%
26%
48%
|
43 | 63 | 20 | +2 |
Matches
Young Apostles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
YAP
1 - 0
NSO
18%
24%
58%
|
20 | 66 | 46 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
YAP
0 - 0
BEC
19%
24%
57%
|
19 | 67 | 48 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
YAP
2 - 0
KFC
21%
25%
54%
|
18 | 67 | 49 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2024 |
HEA
1 - 0
YAP
61%
24%
15%
|
18 | 67 | 49 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
YAP
1 - 1
VIS
47%
22%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |