Nations vs Vision analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.6%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.3%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.8%
8.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+135%
+186%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nations
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MED
1 - 0
NFC
60%
25%
15%
|
36 | 66 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2024 |
NFC
1 - 1
BGS
21%
26%
53%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
DRE
0 - 1
NFC
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 67 | 33 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NFC
0 - 0
HEA
24%
29%
47%
|
33 | 67 | 34 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ADU
1 - 2
NFC
69%
20%
11%
|
31 | 65 | 34 | +2 |
Matches
Vision
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 1
BEC
18%
24%
59%
|
16 | 67 | 51 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
HEA
0 - 0
VIS
62%
24%
15%
|
15 | 67 | 52 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 0
BHS
70%
17%
14%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
SFC
2 - 1
VIS
72%
18%
10%
|
15 | 67 | 52 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 1
ALL
20%
25%
55%
|
14 | 64 | 50 | +1 |