Nations vs Medeama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
55%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+151%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nations
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
SFC
0 - 1
NFC
73%
18%
9%
|
20 | 66 | 46 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 2023 |
NFC
4 - 1
NSO
16%
22%
61%
|
18 | 67 | 49 | +2 |
| 24 Dec. 2023 |
BEC
3 - 0
NFC
73%
18%
9%
|
19 | 66 | 47 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NFC
1 - 1
HEA
22%
27%
50%
|
18 | 67 | 49 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NFC
2 - 1
ADU
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 65 | 48 | +1 |
Matches
Medeama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
BEL
3 - 0
MED
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
MED
0 - 1
ALA
22%
25%
53%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2024 |
HEA
2 - 2
MED
35%
31%
35%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
MED
0 - 0
BOF
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2024 |
MED
1 - 0
AGO
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |