Nations vs Hearts of Oak analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.3%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
9%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
10.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
27.4%
50.3%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
15.1%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
25.7%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+151%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nations
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
NFC
2 - 1
ADU
17%
23%
60%
|
17 | 65 | 48 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ACC
0 - 1
NFC
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
ASA
4 - 2
NFC
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 67 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NFC
1 - 0
KFC
17%
23%
60%
|
16 | 66 | 50 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BGS
0 - 1
NFC
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 67 | 52 | +1 |
Matches
Hearts of Oak
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
HEA
2 - 3
ASA
47%
28%
24%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ADU
1 - 0
HEA
44%
30%
26%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
HEA
0 - 0
NAN
83%
12%
6%
|
66 | 14 | 52 | +1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
HEA
1 - 1
BER
44%
27%
29%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
ACC
1 - 2
HEA
47%
29%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |