Nations vs Asante Kotoko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
10.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
56%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.5%
0-2
12%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.3%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8.1%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nations
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2023 |
BER
1 - 0
NFC
70%
20%
9%
|
11 | 68 | 57 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
NFC
1 - 1
ALL
16%
24%
60%
|
10 | 68 | 58 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
NFC
2 - 0
SFC
13%
22%
65%
|
8 | 65 | 57 | +2 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
DRE
1 - 0
NFC
80%
15%
6%
|
8 | 68 | 60 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2023 |
NFC
2 - 2
TEC
5%
12%
83%
|
7 | 63 | 56 | +1 |
Matches
Asante Kotoko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 0
ADU
48%
27%
25%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2023 |
ACC
0 - 1
ASA
47%
28%
25%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +2 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ASA
1 - 1
KFC
42%
29%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
BGS
2 - 1
ASA
47%
29%
24%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ASA
0 - 0
HEA
46%
26%
27%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |