Nations vs Aduana Stars analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
60.1%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
13.4%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.6%
0-3
7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+151%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nations
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ACC
0 - 1
NFC
78%
15%
7%
|
17 | 62 | 45 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2023 |
ASA
4 - 2
NFC
82%
13%
6%
|
17 | 67 | 50 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
NFC
1 - 0
KFC
17%
23%
60%
|
16 | 66 | 50 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
BGS
0 - 1
NFC
78%
15%
7%
|
15 | 67 | 52 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
NFC
1 - 0
HEA
13%
19%
68%
|
14 | 64 | 50 | +1 |
Matches
Aduana Stars
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
ADU
1 - 0
HEA
44%
30%
26%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2023 |
ADU
1 - 2
BER
38%
26%
36%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2023 |
ADU
0 - 1
ACC
43%
28%
29%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2023 |
KFC
2 - 1
ADU
46%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
ADU
3 - 0
BGS
39%
29%
32%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |