Naters vs Yverdon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.2%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
16.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
47.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.3%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
BUL
0 - 1
NAT
43%
24%
33%
|
33 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
NAT
2 - 1
GRA
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
SIO
5 - 0
NAT
67%
19%
15%
|
33 | 43 | 10 | -1 |
| 06 Aug. 2011 |
NAT
1 - 2
LEM
30%
24%
47%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
NAT
5 - 0
FRI
32%
25%
43%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Yverdon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
YVE
4 - 1
FCM
62%
22%
17%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
YVE
21%
23%
56%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | -2 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
YVE
3 - 0
ECH
58%
23%
19%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2011 |
YVE
0 - 3
DUD
62%
21%
17%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | -1 |
| 25 May. 2011 |
YVE
0 - 2
SER
14%
23%
63%
|
47 | 66 | 19 | -2 |