Naters vs Meyrin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.9%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.2%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
45%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.7%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
NAT
3 - 1
CSC
30%
22%
49%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
GRA
3 - 1
NAT
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
NAT
3 - 0
POR
45%
23%
32%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
SEC
0 - 1
NAT
47%
22%
31%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
NAT
0 - 2
SIO
37%
22%
42%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Meyrin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
YVE
2 - 2
MEY
41%
24%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
MEY
1 - 0
VEV
33%
25%
42%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
PFO
1 - 2
MEY
25%
20%
55%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
MEY
1 - 1
FCM
62%
18%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
LAU
0 - 0
MEY
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | +1 |