Naters vs Meyrin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.2%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
12.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
DUD
3 - 0
NAT
60%
21%
19%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
NAT
3 - 2
FCM
67%
19%
15%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
STA
1 - 0
NAT
46%
25%
29%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
NAT
2 - 0
LAU
50%
23%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | +2 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
YVE
1 - 1
NAT
52%
24%
25%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Meyrin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
MEY
1 - 2
FRI
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
DUD
6 - 2
MEY
72%
17%
12%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MEY
1 - 2
MAR
45%
23%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
FCM
2 - 1
MEY
55%
21%
24%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
MEY
0 - 4
FCA
39%
25%
37%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | -2 |