Naters vs Martigny analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
39.4%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Naters
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
YOU
3 - 0
NAT
64%
20%
17%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
LAU
0 - 1
NAT
58%
21%
21%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
DUD
0 - 0
NAT
30%
24%
47%
|
37 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
NAT
1 - 0
VEV
60%
20%
20%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
THU
2 - 3
NAT
31%
25%
45%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Martigny
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 2
LAN
43%
24%
33%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
2 - 1
FRI
52%
23%
26%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | +2 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
MAR
5 - 0
FCA
40%
24%
36%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
POR
1 - 2
MAR
35%
23%
42%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2017 |
YOU
4 - 2
MAR
62%
18%
20%
|
35 | 38 | 3 | 0 |